Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 9.477201 10.470916 11.535601 12.763016 14.141276 15.643705 17.408943
2025-10-05 8.084120 9.481036 11.082477 13.062099 15.454241 18.264920 21.837133
2025-10-12 7.060814 8.712388 10.718899 13.354834 16.754018 21.027054 26.864006
2025-10-19 6.169818 7.951148 10.226250 13.378248 17.684035 23.435915 31.829145
2025-10-26 5.414408 7.244362 9.685283 13.228868 18.324431 25.515066 36.662227
2025-11-02 4.797976 6.634256 9.179189 13.030983 18.831897 27.437878 41.547517
2025-11-09 4.288470 6.105280 8.710611 12.804512 19.234786 29.223427 46.476780
2025-11-16 3.882607 5.675559 8.327787 12.641440 19.686151 31.110857 51.845194
2025-11-23 3.560548 5.333118 8.031632 12.563884 20.242035 33.214037 57.902655
2025-11-30 3.363197 5.158985 7.971092 12.846746 21.414542 36.498656 66.632270
2025-12-07 3.113974 4.876650 7.705712 12.749809 21.905661 38.629959 73.535652
2025-12-14 2.859102 4.560772 7.352611 12.456934 21.997879 40.021057 79.186272
2025-12-21 2.658351 4.321454 7.112443 12.349663 22.443015 42.194874 86.994459
2025-12-28 2.562119 4.250788 7.154902 12.760993 23.933927 46.669480 100.766690
2026-01-04 2.464989 4.169376 7.169527 13.120185 25.369822 51.261701 115.841950
2026-01-11 2.334640 4.017240 7.041127 13.186542 26.212292 54.714177 128.957003
2026-01-18 2.191687 3.830125 6.830470 13.064586 26.636978 57.299121 140.466911
2026-01-25 2.054867 3.643273 6.603546 12.883802 26.907320 59.567400 151.668261
2026-02-01 1.926461 3.462249 6.372175 12.668400 27.070340 61.603393 162.716352
2026-02-08 1.815931 3.307018 6.178245 12.511978 27.348179 63.967011 175.303324
2026-02-15 1.723399 3.179802 6.029521 12.438027 27.811038 66.878200 190.299161
2026-02-22 1.673688 3.133132 6.040064 12.719274 29.175683 72.398590 215.055798
2026-03-01 1.591391 3.014997 5.892715 12.624360 29.585770 75.392866 232.323134